Iran War Assessment: No Negotiations

Talk about talks are a ploy to calm global energy and equity markets and to create the illusion that “peace is around the corner.” Trump’s five-day pause coincides with market close on Friday, 27 March. US and Israel are expected to begin intense operations after market close. Iran’s position has been clarified. War continues until Trump accepts reality.

Market Manipulation and Insider Trading

Firstly, apologies to my subscribers for crowding inboxes with a second post today. However, I wanted to send this out immediately because Trump and US GOV insiders are engaged in deceptive practices to manipulate energy and equity markets, and to personally profit from insider knowledge.

There are no negotiations planned or ongoing (see below). Three screenshots below from The Kobeissi Letter show that market manipulation and insider trading are ongoing. If the US had a functioning Securities & Exchange Commission and Department of Justice, criminal investigations would be underway.

S&P trade before Trump’s Announcement on 23 March
Oil Trade before announcement
Bond Market

Tehran’s Position

Tehran has repeatedly said that the cycle of “negotiate, bomb, ceasefire, negotiate, bomb” has ended. This is logical. Why ceasefire today and fight another war later? The plan is to finish this war. Tehran will enter into negotiations if and only if US and Israel are willing to offer major concessions. We are not there yet.

Tehran’s Framework for Settlement

Many prominent Iranian leaders have expressed the following framework:

1. All US forces must leave the Middle East (this will happen whether Washington agrees or not. Iraq is on the verge of expelling US forces from their last redoubt, i.e., Erbil; NATO forces have fled to Jordan);

2. End threats against Iran (permanently. Logical: Iran does not want a repeat years down the road);

3. Recognition of Iran’s legitimate rights (presumably, Iran’s latent nuclear power status);

4. Payment of reparations (essential; US and have Israel caused considerable damage and losses of life);

5. Lifting of sanctions (essential).

Analysis

Until Trump accepts the reality that Iran is denuding the region of US bases and diminishing American economic and political influence in the Persian Gulf, Iran will keep beating US like a drum.

Trump Negotiating with Iran

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