On the night of 4-5 April, US Special Forces suffered a debacle near Isfahan. Trump claims the operation was a pilot rescue, but that’s false. His meltdowns on 5th and 6th April were a consequence of the failure of some plan. Consensus is that the failed op was to seize Iran’s enriched U-235 at Isfahan. Note: Please see essay of 8 April, “The Jews of Iran,” which has an update. Included at the end of this essay is a note covering the negotiations in Islamabad last weekend and the blockade of the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz!
Category: Middle East Politics
Iran War: A Dangerous Moment
Trump is refusing to accept that the United States has suffered a “strategic defeat” in the war he started for Israel. BBC News just got caught trying to manufacture consent for the use of nuclear weapons on Iran. US-Israel terror campaign continues and may intensify when Trump’s “Bridge and Power Plant” deadline expires tonight. Israel is now bombing synagogues in Tehran.
Iran War | One Month SITREP
The war is going swimmingly for Iran: enemy radars gone, interceptor stockpiles have fallen; Iranian missiles and drones are finding their targets with precision. US and Israel have no military targets left in Iran to strike (anything of value is below ground) and instead terror bombings à la Serbia (1999) and Iraq (1991 and 2003). Iran is sticking with game plan and relentlessly denuding region of US bases, forcing US to resort to long range bombings (from UK and CONUS). Iran’s air defenses hold. Europe feeling the heat.
Iran Rejects Ceasefire and Sets Conditions
No shocker. Tehran rejected Trump’s ceasefire and 15-point plan. Excerpt from Iranian state media report, link, and five conditions in the post.
SITREP: No Ceasefire; Iran’s Strategy Working
Here we go again! Israel’s Channel 12 dropped their 15-point proposal just in time to move markets. Western outlets copied-and-pasted the article without questioning provenance or motive. Tehran said “US negotiating with itself.” Iran’s strategy of pushing the US out of the Mideast is advancing.
Iran War Assessment: No Negotiations
Talk about talks are a ploy to calm global energy and equity markets and to create the illusion that “peace is around the corner.” Trump’s five-day pause coincides with market close on Friday, 27 March. US and Israel are expected to begin intense operations after the close. Iran’s position has been clarified. War continues until Trump accepts reality.
Iranian Generalship: “Madman Strategy?”
Is Iran pursuing a “madman strategy”? Or do the generals have a coherent strategy that they relentlessly pursue, while pivoting and/or climbing up the escalatory ladder as circumstances warrant? For, e.g., after the South Pars gas field was bombed by US-Israel?
China’s Spying Eyes, Russia’s Missing Eyes, and Iran’s Precise Missile Strikes
Report that Russia is providing ISR to Iran is poppycock. China is Iran’s trusted partner. China has 9-10x satellite fleet of Russia. Tehran knows Kremlin is untrustworthy and could turn off the switch in the middle of a war. A roundup of my essays on Iran-China cooperation in space-based intelligence technologies
Happy Nawruz | نوروز پیروز
Nawruz greetings to the ancient Iranian nation being unjustly attacked by barbarians
China’s New Intelligence Satellites Over Mideast: Iran Benefits from China’s “Eyes and Ears”
In 4Q25, PLA parked two “Signals Intelligence” (SIGINT) satellites over Mideast to harvest electronic emissions. MizarVision images that caused an internet stir are from China’s Jilin-1 imaging satellites and released by Beijing to message US and Israel that China is watching, and therefore, Iran is watching every move they make.









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