Iran Rejects Ceasefire and Sets Conditions

No shocker. Tehran rejected Trump’s ceasefire and 15-point plan. Excerpt from Iranian state media report, link, and five conditions in the post.

Iran War Assessment: No Negotiations

Talk about talks are a ploy to calm global energy and equity markets and to create the illusion that “peace is around the corner.” Trump’s five-day pause coincides with market close on Friday, 27 March. US and Israel are expected to begin intense operations after the close. Iran’s position has been clarified. War continues until Trump accepts reality.

Iranian Generalship: “Madman Strategy?”

Is Iran pursuing a “madman strategy”? Or do the generals have a coherent strategy that they relentlessly pursue, while pivoting and/or climbing up the escalatory ladder as circumstances warrant? For, e.g., after the South Pars gas field was bombed by US-Israel?

Iran is Winning the War but Losing the Info War

Iran is beating US like a drum and advancing its strategy, but Washington’s control of the media narrative is thwarting realization of Iran’s goals. Pre-war, Tehran set five objectives to force concessions from the Trump Regime. None have been met as yet because DC is shaping the narrative. Once the media dam breaks, Iran’s goals will be realized.

Iran’s Decentralized Mosaic Defense

Iran employs a “Decentralized Mosaic Defense” (difaʿ-i muzayiki) command-and-control (2C) structure: “decapitations” have minimal impacts on 2C. This is evident from Iran’s control of the escalation ladder, and the calibrated responses advancing Iran’s strategic objectives. Notes and observations on difaʿ-i muzayiki.

Iran’s Ball Game: Strikes on Arab States

Arab states are being pummeled by Iran and US is not helping them. Gulf Arabs have realized that the Washington Mafia took their “protection money” but never intended to protect them. Breach of contract. Even the Genovese crime family that ran my NYC neighborhood met their obligations. Arab states will fall under Iran’s sway.

Iran’s Nuclear Ambiguity

Iran, courtesy of Trump and Netanyahu, has achieved nuclear ambiguity. Its nuclear sites and 408kg trove of highly-enriched uranium survive. Mossad/CIA spies (“IAEA inspectors”) have no physical access to sites; CCTV at every site is off. Iran’s nuclear program, formerly the world’s most open and inspected program, has gone black.

“O Iran”

Taking a short break. I leave you with the video recording of “O Iran” (Ey Iran) performed by the Tehran Symphony Orchestra at Azadi Square following Iran’s victory over Israel. Brief history of the song, its composer, and lyricist, are included.

Iran-Israel War | Winners & Losers

Iran won. Trump’s confidant, Steve Bannon, explains on video. My amplifications in essay.

Iran-Israel War | Day 8 SITREP

Iran FM: “no negotiations” with U.S.; Iran Prez: “unconditional end” to war; Iranians unite: millions join anti-Israel/pro-Iran rallies from Ahvaz to Mashhad; “legacy media” propaganda seeks to “manufacture consent” for U.S.-Iran War; air superiority myth (update); Iran pounds Israel.