Israel vs Hezbollah: A bigger war game

Link below to my article on impending Hizballah-Israel War. Main points (for wargamers): (1) This is a “War of Choice” for Israel, but a “War of Necessity” for Hizballah and Iran; (2) 2024 is not 2006: new technologies and tactics will be unveiled; (3) Israeli intelligence is overrated; (4) fear ye not Israeli nukes; (5) expect U.S. involvement; (6) Russia’s role: Iran is “too big to fail”; Russia has economic and military investments with Tehran. Will it intervene? Putin has indicated support for a proxy war to payback the US for proxy war against Russia.

Hizballah and Ansarallah (Update)

An article by me on the impending Hizballah-Israel war will be published at a media site soon. A link will be supplied in a future update. For now, quick notes re Gen. Amir-Ali Hajizadah, head of IRGC Aerospace and his comments on preparedness for the next operation against Israel; and statement by the leader of Ansarallah, Abd al-Malik al-Houthi, on targeting the USS Roosevelt in the Red Sea.

War of the flea: A 6-month report on US-led Op. Prosperity Guardian against Yemen

“Arrogance and ignorance shaped OPG [Op Prosperity Guardian]….OPG exposes failures in American intellect and imagination. It was formed with the premise that ships developed for the Cold War era have relevance to warfare of today. US Navy prepared for sea battles like Leyte Gulf (1944), not battles in the Red Sea. Failure of intellect and imagination is not limited to the Navy, but the Pentagon.” Follow this link to link to article.

IRGC and the “Death” of CIA’s “Ayatollah Mike”

On 3 January 2020, Trump assassinated Haji Qasem Soleimani. On 27 January 2020, the chief of CIA’s “Iran Mission,” Michael D’Andrea, “died” when his USAF Bombardier E-11A jet was downed in Afghanistan. Did he die? CIA claims he was “forced” to retire. Was the jet destroyed by IRGC?

The OSINT Epidemic: Ignorance, Misinformation, Propaganda

Everyone is an OSINT expert these days. Twitter is swarming with OSINT accounts purporting expertise on Russia-Ukraine War and/or Israel-Palestine conflict. Businesses are seeking applicants with expertise in “OSINT tools, techniques and methodologies” and “HUMINT tradecraft” for sundry “threat intelligence” positions. Most OSINT experts have no intelligence or military background. They often supply propaganda, misinformation, or “confirmation bias” through ignorance, or, to satisfy the demands of their followers and/or paymasters.

Red Sea/Yemen SITREP: USS Eisenhower Rumors

Friday, 31 May 2024, Ansarallah claimed two direct hits on USS Eisenhower, which was in the Red Sea protecting Israel’s economic lifelines with American lives. Since Friday, Eisenhower and its captain have acted in ways that suggest there is truth to the Yemeni claim. Families of Ike's crew claim they have been unable to communicate with relatives on-board, suggesting a security clampdown is in effect.

Ronald Reagan: Tribute and Requiem

A tribute to Ronald Wilson Reagan, who died twenty years ago today, and a requiem for America. Reagan revitalized America after Vietnam. However, Reagan’s America that we loved; the America that we were proud to belong to; the America that we proudly served in uniform; the America that we would have sacrificed our lives for, is dead. Since he left office, America has slid inexorably toward the dustbin of history