Iran delivered its proposal to US via Pak; only change from first proposal is ending blockade. Iran insists on 30 days to a resolution (US wants 60 days). Trump unlikely to agree; another round of fighting is likely. IRGC training video emerged showing how they strategized about fighting US. CNN investigative report on how Iran wrecked 16 US bases. Includes note on “Iran experts” who say stupid stuff, which accounts for why US walked into the Iranian minefield.
Iran’s Proposal
Iran seeks a permanent end to war: “the cycle of negotiate, bomb, ceasefire, negotiate, bomb” must end. US proposed a 2-month ceasefire; Iran insists on resolution within 30 days.
Key points: Guarantees against military aggression; withdrawal of all US military forces from Iran’s periphery; end to the blockade; release of Iran’s blocked assets; payment of reparations [Iran claims elsewhere that damages exceed $270 billion]; lifting of sanctions; end to fighting on all fronts (i.e., including Lebanon, possibly Yemen); Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz [new regulations were drafted by the Majlis on tolls and control of traffic].
Changes from Iran’s first proposal: (1) end blockade; (2) nuclear is file not mentioned! Tehran will not discuss the nuclear issue (if at all) until their proposal is accepted.
Trump is not going to accept, which leaves him with two choices: walk away and claim victory, or attack Iran again. Iran may not let him walk away and maintain the blockade. If US strikes again, what remains of US bases and economic interests will be wrecked; US Navy ships will be attacked; UAE, Bahrain, and Kuwait will be struck heavily. If Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure is bombed, O&G infrastructure in the region will be “obliterated.”
IRGC Video
This clip is from the 1990s of Hossein Salami (d. 13 June 2025), later the IRGC commander, lecturing a class of officers on symmetric and asymmetric warfare. Salami notes US’s reliance on airpower and large naval vessels, and desire for quick victory; but that it is to Iran’s advantage to prolong a war and increase political costs to the US government, and economic costs to Americans.
This is what Iran is doing today. US naval power is being countered by fast boats, as Salami said. Lastly, this 3min 05sec clip only reveals what we know from ongoing events about how Iran has been thinking and preparing for war with the US. What did the rest of the lecture cover?
CNN Report on Damage
The White House ordered US-based satellite providers to stop releasing imagery of damage caused by Iran to 16 US bases in 8 countries. US satellite providers agreed. European providers voluntarily complied. The ban only served to hide the truth from the publics of US, UK, and EU: images from Chinese and Iranian satellites were published on X/Twitter and Telegram. CNN breaks the wall of silence.
Iran Experts
Iranians say w.r.t. Trump, his Administration (Vance, Rubio, Bessent, et al.), and the Pentagon, “we’re blessed to have idiots for enemies.” To this list of idiots we can add “Iran experts” in the US/UK. A dirty secret in Iranian Studies is that most of the “experts” that give media interviews and write opinion pieces, and advice the UK/US governments are anti-Iran activists. This pool includes Bahai (a deviant cult from 19th-century Iran), MEK/MKO terrorists, Kurdish and Baluch separatists, and Pahlavists. A senior British scholar, for example, who advices HM Government, is a blood relative of the wannabe shah. A majority of “Iran experts” have never been to Iran or have not returned since 1979. The “Iran experts” that I know do not have military or intelligence training or experience. Their academic fields are international relations, history, and politics. Do they know anything about Iran’s defense strategy? Military?
The prejudices of “Iran experts” toward the Islamic Republic of Iran and ignorance of life in modern Iran, do not disbar them from advising US/UK. Their task is to validate government policies through their so-called expertise; for example, if asked by CIA whether X is true, or Y is good policy, they will supply the expected answer, which to CIA is validation by an “Iran expert.” When one reads in the Daily Telegraph or New York Times, or hears Rubio, Vance, Trump or CNN’s Christiane Amanpour say that “Iranians will rise up” if IRGC generals and Ayatollah Khamenei are killed, this is US policy with the imprimatur of a Ph.D.-holding “Iran expert.” We know the assumptions were false. Bad assessments by “Iran experts” is one reason why the US was shocked by Iran’s responses on 28 February 2026. A prepared plan unfolded immediately with the U.S. bombing of Iran (see “Iran’s Ball Game: Strikes on Arab States”).
Here’s Karim Sadjadpour, a professor at Georgetown University claiming that Iran is planning on using “suicide dolphins”—dolphins strapped with mines—to attack Navy vessels. This clip broke the internet. How moronic does one have to be to say this in public? The claim originated with Jesse Watters, notorious MAGA propagandist at Fox. Sadjadpour should have been skeptical. It also proves his lack of awareness about Iranian military technologies. CNN’s presenter only asked how this could be undertaken when she should have just chased the midwit off the set and apologized to her viewers.
Last Word
Unless something breaks with Iran, I will not be posting regularly. Working on another book. Thank you.
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