History, Religion, Politics, Culture, and Travels in the Islamic World
Analysis of Kremlin’s reactions to Crocus terror attack. Escalations will include decapitation strikes against GUR and SBU targets, but Zelensky is safe—for now. Strikes against NATO assets and the 12 CIA centers in Ukraine are likely. But strategy of the Russian Army and Kremlin—advancing to the Dnieper and regime change in Kiev—will not change.
The attackers in Moscow were apparently paid by someone or some organization. They did not see fit to die for Allah as is the wont of fanatics. We should refrain from attributing the attacks to ISIS until evidence to the contrary surfaces
Another bad idea by Europe and US. Tehran counters ‘maximum pressure’ with ‘maximum pressure.’ If G7/US go ahead and ban Iran Air, Iran will respond forcefully. Ukraine and Israel will pay a heftier price. Here’s why and how.
Three distinct but related reports of note from today. (1) US engaged in indirect talks with Iran through Omani mediator: (1) talks were on curbing Iran’s expanding nuclear program; (2) and US asked Iran to throttle Ansarallah’s activities; and (3) Ansarallah tested a hypersonic missile. The reports indicate that major escalation is likely in Red Sea/Gulf of Aden.
The duel on the Ukrainian battlefield, where vaunted American Abrams M1/AI tanks fell to Russian ‘Ghoul’ FPV drones, indicates that U.S. Army land warfare doctrines are due for re-evaluation. The multi-million-dollar tanks were easily felled by $500 drones. Re-thinks by strategists at the U.S. Army War College are overdue.
Essay evaluates the maturing ‘Tripartite Alliance’—Russia, China, Iran—at the two-year anniversary of the Ukraine War, which fused the Alliance. Anger at U.S. and NATO transformed hitherto wary allies into partners. Part 1, background; Part 2, cooperation—with emphasis on Iran-Russia military and intelligence exchanges. How will the Iran-Russia military relationship impact on U.S. and Israel?
Iran is supplying Russia with 400 Fatih-110 and Zulfiqar missiles. Missile deliveries began in January. This is not ‘news’ because the deal has been in the offing since late 2022; and no Fatih-110 or Zulfiqar missiles have been used in Ukraine. But it has been unofficially confirmed by Iranian and Russian sources
Iran is supplying its Khordad-15 air defense system to the Syrian and Lebanese armies. Since October 2023, Iranian cargo aircraft have been using Russia airbases in Syria. A report claims that Hezbollah sends its older weapons to Russia for the Ukraine War; while advanced Iranian weaponry is safely delivered to Hezbollah through Russian airbases in Syria.
Essay on support for Russia by former U.S. military and intelligence professionals. Analysis is based on two-year review of Twitter/X and Telegram channels offering informed commentaries and analyses about the Russia-Ukraine War; NATO weapons systems, logistics, tactics; and political leaderships in US, London, Berlin, and Brussels.
Ukrainian intelligence claims that Iranian IRGC and Hizballah are training Russian soldiers in Syria to use combat drones. It also claims that Syrian soldiers are training to fight alongside Russian soldiers in Ukraine. Addresses the importance of Iran’s military contributions to Russia in the Ukraine War.
Perspectives 
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