Col. Jacques Baud (Swiss Strategic Intelligence Service, Retd.) during an interview with Lt. Col. Daniel Davis (U.S. Army, Ret.) stated categorically that the attacks were not committed by ISIS. Furthermore, he said, he had received indicators in February 2024 that Ukraine was preparing an atrocity in Russia.
Category: Middle East Politics
AI-Controlled Drones and Missiles: Russia and Iran
Iran has developed a retractable wing cruise missile that is AI controlled, where one missile can act as the ‘leader’ of a ‘pack’ of missiles and direct the missiles to their target(s). It is capable of switching targets as necessary. Commander of the IRGC’s Aerospace Forces, General Amir Ali Hajizadeh, said ‘we no longer produce … Continue reading AI-Controlled Drones and Missiles: Russia and Iran
Kremlin’s Next Moves: Decapitation, ‘De-NATO-fication,’ Regime Change
Analysis of Kremlin’s reactions to Crocus terror attack. Escalations will include decapitation strikes against GUR and SBU targets, but Zelensky is safe—for now. Strikes against NATO assets and the 12 CIA centers in Ukraine are likely. But strategy of the Russian Army and Kremlin—advancing to the Dnieper and regime change in Kiev—will not change.
False Flag Op in Moscow?
The attackers in Moscow were apparently paid by someone or some organization. They did not see fit to die for Allah as is the wont of fanatics. We should refrain from attributing the attacks to ISIS until evidence to the contrary surfaces
How do Iranians ‘Boil a Frog’?
Iran and its allies are using a calibrated approach to increase temperatures in the Middle East until the water boils the American and Israeli ‘frogs’ to death. This is a timeless strategy in asymmetrical warfare. The Taliban used to say, ‘Americans have watches but we have the time.’ Time is on IRGC’s side.
Ban Iran Air from Europe?
Another bad idea by Europe and US. Tehran counters ‘maximum pressure’ with ‘maximum pressure.’ If G7/US go ahead and ban Iran Air, Iran will respond forcefully. Ukraine and Israel will pay a heftier price. Here’s why and how.
Iran-Yemen SITREP
Three distinct but related reports of note from today. (1) US engaged in indirect talks with Iran through Omani mediator: (1) talks were on curbing Iran’s expanding nuclear program; (2) and US asked Iran to throttle Ansarallah’s activities; and (3) Ansarallah tested a hypersonic missile. The reports indicate that major escalation is likely in Red Sea/Gulf of Aden.
Red Sea and Gulf of Aden SITREP
Ansarallah’s spokesman Brig.-Gen. Yahya Sariʾi announces new phase of operations against US and UK naval coalition that included a swarm attack of 37 drones at naval vessels; and several anti-ship ballistic missiles at an American merchant vessel.
Tehran’s Responses to ‘Maximum Pressure Campaign’ and ‘Bomb Iran’ Threats
Nobody likes a bully; and USA is a loud-mouthed bully. Iranians resent 125+ years of foreign interference in their affairs. Tehran has responded to USA’s ‘maximum pressure’ and ‘bomb Iran’ threats by enhancing Anti-Access/Area Denial (A2/AD) capacities. IRGC can ‘kill’ US aircraft carriers outside Persian Gulf. Iran is prepared for an ‘inevitable war.’ Washington underestimates Iranian tenacity and military technologies
War of the Flea in the Red Sea
Robert Taber’s classic study offers insights into Ansarallah’s (Houthi’s) Red Sea campaign. Five characteristics of ‘protracted war’ apply to Yemen. ‘Popular support’ in is with Ansarallah. This is demonstrated every Friday by the millions of Yemenis that assemble after prayers to support Palestine and oppose U.S./UK airstrikes. Even Ansarallah’s civil war enemies have drifted to their camp.



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